This text outline omits illustrations.

PPT Slide


PPT Slide


PRB World Pop Sheet, 1997 (a quick lesson on hope and truth)


Demographic transitions in historical perspective: fertility, epidemiology, and mortality


Malthus, Marx, and Boserup vs. the Billions


Three social philosophers: Malthus, Marx and Boserup


Three social philosophers: Malthus, Marx and Boserup


Demographic transition: phase shifts in mortality and fertility


Population (in millions) by world regions, 1950 - 95


Fertility transitions in 15 countries: 1962-1995


PPT Slide


Three fertility transitions in Latin America, compared with USA


Transitions, revolutions, baby booms, and busts: Cuba, Mexico & USA


Politics, fertility and transition in Mexico, 1895-1995


Cuban Revolution: Baby boom (1960-1970) and bust (1977-)


Fertility decline in Latin America, 1952 - 1992


Mexico’s fertility transition: 7 children in 1970 to 3.2 in 1992


Age patterns of fertility: USA, 1988 and 1970 vs. Mexico


Mexico’s fertility in 1971 lagged USA by a century


By 1992, Mexico lagged USA by 2 - 3 decades.


Fertility of married Mexican women by educational levels compared with natural fertility


The educational revolution will precipitate further declines in Mexican fertility rates


The fertility transition in China, Mexico, India, Bangladesh, and Nigeria: 1962-1995


PPT Slide


The Age of Pestilence and Famine: an example from colonial Mexico


Second example, 1630-1930 (northern Mexico)


PPT Slide


Mortality transitions: Examples from Latin America


Life Expectancy, 1900-1980, 4 LA countries (unequal in 1900; now converging)


The Mortality transition in Mexico: catching up with the USA


Infant mortality declined from 13% in 1950 to 3% in 1992 (still more than 3 times the US rate).


Does HIV/AIDS contradict the epidemiological paradigm (see Bongaarts in PDR 3/96)?


Conclusions:

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